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Who will win the next Canadian Federal Election?

 


gandalfthegrey
I am fed up with all the fear mongering of how the Conservatives will win a majority government in Canada in the next federal election. That is total garbage.

If you look at the riding by riding results, it is nearly impossible given current and past voting patterns for the Conservatives to get a majority government.


Not that I think a majority Conservative government will be all that bad. I am just rather upset of how the media try to frame the election. They just want an election contest between the Conservatives and Liberals. They do this speculation every election. It causes NDP and Green voters to switch to the Liberals out of fear.
gandalfthegrey
What is worse is that many of these ridings - the Liberals have no chance. It is the NDP or Bloc Quebecois that come in 2nd.
Haelyn
Indeed. It is the same story over and over. But not much can be done about it. Sensation wins over reason every time. In some cases the 'fear' factor has actually given the Conservative seats, since it split an otherwise promising NDP campaign, giving the libs enough votes to tank the NDP's chances.
LumberJack
None of them should have a majority, they are all have doctorates in Incompetence.
gandalfthegrey
I agree with Lumberjack. Laughing
coolclay
I am not very familiar with Canadian Politics but, in my opinion a balance of all sides is always the best. To much of any particular political party is usually a bad thing.
deanhills
gandalfthegrey wrote:
I am just rather upset of how the media try to frame the election. They just want an election contest between the Conservatives and Liberals. They do this speculation every election. It causes NDP and Green voters to switch to the Liberals out of fear.


This is so true. And it irritates me too. And they always seem to get it wrong too. An added irritation is that there is rarely reporting that is equally savvy on the thinking in the East and West of Canada. Quite a number of the reports are either rooted in the West or East. Since the balance of supposedly knowledge is always more in the East, the West always seems to come up with surprises in elections. But are they really surprises or is it more a case of the media being completely out of touch with the electorate of all of the regions.

And it is true what you say. Media has an affect on people but at the same time does not seem to be able to pinpoint their thinking.
LumberJack
What concerns me more is all the separatism that is running rampant throughout the country. Just the fact that it is being reported disturbs me, confederation is uber vital to our country and the fact that the government isn't trying to address the problem just speaks volumes of their ineptitude, incompetence, and frankly irrelevance.

Oh Canada, why are you so fickle Sad
Haelyn
Meh. The liberals basically have no leadership. Harper is slimy and crooked, but whatever. I don't necessarily disagree with much of his agenda, I just find he goes about it ... well, like a standard, archtype politician (what with his complete flip/flop on votes of confidence as an example... accuse Martin of having too many, and then make every bleeding thing a bloody vote of confidence for no compelling reason). All in all, not impressed with Harper as a person -- not impressed with the liberal party -- difficult choice. A crummy person, or a crummy party...

And yes, I am discounting the NDP and the Bloc. And the Greens. They are not going to win the election -- precisely because everyone knows they won't. NDP is being erroded by the Greens (for no good reason, if you actually look at their platform, the greens are way not left wing on almost everything), and everyone knows that if you vote NDP, the cons will win a majority (insert spooky music here to show sarcasm).
LumberJack
I think the liberals have been thoroughly spanked, if they could just get over themselves and start acting like a party again, then the country can move on Smile
Haelyn
Well, they are still being devisive. The 'losers' in the vote for leadership would all rather Dionne burn and flame out, so they can step in and take over leadership. No party loyalty -- just personal agrandisation. But what do you really expect... the liberals are 'The Party of Governance' -- it is hard to build an unsuccessful coalition. Its must easier to keep everything together when you are winning, when you have no real ideology other then victory.

And on top of that... Who knows anything about Dionne? He has completely failed to bring a message on who/what he is.

He needs to get his name out there -- and counter Harper's ridiculous scapegoating and retarded allegations that the cons keep sending out in the mail.
gcaughill
The conservatives will win. But will they get a majority?
misterXY
gcaughill wrote:
The conservatives will win. But will they get a majority?

most likely, jack layton is the only real competition they have, liberals effed up.
gandalfthegrey
Haelyn wrote:
the greens are way not left wing on almost everything


This is so NOT true. The Green party is full of ex New Democrats who are fed up with the negative and divisive politics of the NDP/Socialism.

The Green Party's policies are pragmatic and above the old left/right paradigm that suits extremists just fine.
The Green Party's policies are far more of the left wing. The only item that could be considered right wing in their policy is the Green Tax Shift.
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