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The Future of Internet????
Broad band speed will go to the extant that it will be unbelievable at the present to quantitatively predict it
but again it is always with relation to time that one can predict anything. I feel in the next 10years the speed will be anywhere between 10mps and 20 mbps actually virtual speed meaning one can download an entire uncompressed DVD with about 4 movies in about 3 mints. but here again the data storage and compression without quality compromise also is going to increase so these two aspects are going to go hand in hand effectively contributing to the increase in accessibility as against just only speed
But what about the threat ( see poll)?
I feel that what internet was initially perceived ( An information engine) as will no longer exits as because more and more mis and dis information will be post on the net .Here I want you all to note that information in the correct sense will exist but the data and storage and transfer of mis and dis information and also useless data will far increase informnation
Blogs and forums will be redundant and will see far less clicks than now. Just an analogy with the TV about 20 years ago we had very few channels and viewership was high and now we have umpteen channels and hardly anybody watches all of them
This the introduction part of this post
I intent extending the posts
with specific future scenarios for the following aspects
1.Network infrastructure embedded and un embedded
2.Education research and information
3.Family and entertainment
4.Creative endevours
5.Health
6. Social impact
7.Commerce
and many more I ( you ) can think of
I welcome co authors in these areas where we can jointly post essays on these aspects
but again it is always with relation to time that one can predict anything. I feel in the next 10years the speed will be anywhere between 10mps and 20 mbps actually virtual speed meaning one can download an entire uncompressed DVD with about 4 movies in about 3 mints. but here again the data storage and compression without quality compromise also is going to increase so these two aspects are going to go hand in hand effectively contributing to the increase in accessibility as against just only speed
But what about the threat ( see poll)?
I feel that what internet was initially perceived ( An information engine) as will no longer exits as because more and more mis and dis information will be post on the net .Here I want you all to note that information in the correct sense will exist but the data and storage and transfer of mis and dis information and also useless data will far increase informnation
Blogs and forums will be redundant and will see far less clicks than now. Just an analogy with the TV about 20 years ago we had very few channels and viewership was high and now we have umpteen channels and hardly anybody watches all of them
This the introduction part of this post
I intent extending the posts
with specific future scenarios for the following aspects
1.Network infrastructure embedded and un embedded
2.Education research and information
3.Family and entertainment
4.Creative endevours
5.Health
6. Social impact
7.Commerce
and many more I ( you ) can think of
I welcome co authors in these areas where we can jointly post essays on these aspects
We'll change from binary computing to quantum computing.
As a result of quantum mechanics all data will be in all places at the same time so download speeds will be irrelevant. Unfortunately all qits (quantum digits) will also be in all states at the same time and will, therefore, be hopelessly inaccurate.
Seriously, though, download speeds will increase exponentially. We will be able to download entire movies (in super-definition 3d-surround-vision) far faster than we watch them so most people won't bother storing them at home. It'll all be pay-per-view, anyway, with DRM so tight it'll be all but unbreakable.
If you think piracy is a crime now, you have seen nothing yet. Possessing a single cracked file will put you in jail for 5 years. All hardware will detect and report cracks without fail. Possession of cracked hardware will have you banned from owning IT equipment - including your body mods. Such a ban would, inevitably, exclude you from what will then be perceived to be normal society. If you're lucky you may be allowed to use IT equipment under direct supervision at your place of work, or in IT centres where the hardware is under someone else's control.
A lot of malicious hacking will be about pushing cracked files onto someone else's hardware to get them into trouble. What a way to deal with your enemies ...
There will be some big threats but they'll be, mostly, from attempted government and corporate control, and terrorism.
Governments will, increasingly, want access to our data - and they'll take it. They already hack personal and corporate computers. The near future will see a huge increase in that under the guise of anti-terrorism. Government data services will become increasingly 'joined up'. Discrepancies uncovered as systems are linked, and their data compared, will cause intrusive investigation into our lives. Some people will be prosecuted and sentenced even if the mistake was an innocent one - or even a government one.
Terrorists will, increasingly, use IT to gain access to funds, personal data, government data etc. They'll also launch terrorist attacks to bring down important government systems (ID Control, centralised health care data, air traffic control, ground traffic management etc), large corporate systems and huge numbers of personal systems.
In short, it'll just be the same as it is now - only faster and more critical to the smooth running of individual and collective lives.
As a result of quantum mechanics all data will be in all places at the same time so download speeds will be irrelevant. Unfortunately all qits (quantum digits) will also be in all states at the same time and will, therefore, be hopelessly inaccurate.
Seriously, though, download speeds will increase exponentially. We will be able to download entire movies (in super-definition 3d-surround-vision) far faster than we watch them so most people won't bother storing them at home. It'll all be pay-per-view, anyway, with DRM so tight it'll be all but unbreakable.
If you think piracy is a crime now, you have seen nothing yet. Possessing a single cracked file will put you in jail for 5 years. All hardware will detect and report cracks without fail. Possession of cracked hardware will have you banned from owning IT equipment - including your body mods. Such a ban would, inevitably, exclude you from what will then be perceived to be normal society. If you're lucky you may be allowed to use IT equipment under direct supervision at your place of work, or in IT centres where the hardware is under someone else's control.
A lot of malicious hacking will be about pushing cracked files onto someone else's hardware to get them into trouble. What a way to deal with your enemies ...
There will be some big threats but they'll be, mostly, from attempted government and corporate control, and terrorism.
Governments will, increasingly, want access to our data - and they'll take it. They already hack personal and corporate computers. The near future will see a huge increase in that under the guise of anti-terrorism. Government data services will become increasingly 'joined up'. Discrepancies uncovered as systems are linked, and their data compared, will cause intrusive investigation into our lives. Some people will be prosecuted and sentenced even if the mistake was an innocent one - or even a government one.
Terrorists will, increasingly, use IT to gain access to funds, personal data, government data etc. They'll also launch terrorist attacks to bring down important government systems (ID Control, centralised health care data, air traffic control, ground traffic management etc), large corporate systems and huge numbers of personal systems.
In short, it'll just be the same as it is now - only faster and more critical to the smooth running of individual and collective lives.
yagnavalyka-Well for nerds like us, we will probably abandon the internet (well, at least most of it), but for mainstream culture will continue to endorse it because of its popularity (myspace.)
GSIS-I think your prediction is quite accurate.
GSIS-I think your prediction is quite accurate.
I don't know...that second post sounded like something out of 1984. I agree that the speed of the internet will be tremendously faster, but I still think that within 10 years, people will still want DVD's. Unless tv's get internet access, not everyone is going to use their laptop/computer as a dvd player.
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